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RANGE

Jon PeckDevelopment & ExpansionAugust 13, 20265 min read

The new store opened in March and it is doing fine. Traffic is building, the reviews are good, the landlord is happy. The store it came from is the problem. Comps there have slid for two quarters and nobody has said out loud why, because the reason walked out the door in February. The general manager who ran it is now running the new one.

Nothing about that was a mistake. The site was strong, the rent penciled, and putting the best operator on the most expensive lease was the responsible call. Restaurant site selection is usually argued as a real estate question, and on the term sheet it is one. The cost that decided this outcome never appeared on the term sheet at all.

What the rent number leaves out

An A site announces its price. The rent premium is on the lease, the build-out is bid, the pro forma runs, and a group that has opened before can tell within a few points what the location needs to do to work. All of that is knowable before anyone signs.

What is not on the term sheet is the management load. An A site is expensive in rent and it is also expensive in attention. Higher volume, more covers in the same hour, a longer ramp before the team settles, more scrutiny because everyone in the company knows what it cost. The site does not just need a manager. It needs your best one, and it needs them present rather than splitting time.

That cost is paid out of a fixed supply. You have the operators you have on the day you sign.

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One underperforming site pulls on all of them

The reason this matters more at eight units than at thirty is that the group has no slack. A large operator absorbs a weak location. A growing one does not, and the drag compounds in a specific order.

  • The site underperforms, so the strongest available operator gets moved onto it.
  • The store that operator came from loses its standard, usually within a quarter, because the standard was that person.
  • Neither store now contributes what the model assumed, so the corporate overhead the group is carrying gets covered by fewer performing units.
  • Projects funded out of that overhead stall. The training build, the second kitchen, the systems work.
  • The next location gets harder to finance, because the last one is not proving the case.
  • Teams at both stores feel all of it before anyone reports it.

That sequence is not a rent problem with a people symptom. It is a people problem that a rent decision triggered.

Restaurant site selection is a bench test

Here is the reframe that changes the decision. The question is not whether the group can carry the rent. It is whether the group has a second operator good enough that the new site does not consume the first one.

If that person exists, the A site is a growth decision and the premium is probably worth paying, because a strong site with a strong operator compounds and a mediocre site never does. If that person does not exist, the same lease is a bet that you will hire or develop one inside the build-out window, which is the least reliable time to be doing either.

An A site is affordable when the bench is deep enough to staff it without stripping the store that funded it.

The failed fix is the one most groups reach for first: sign the A site and plan to hire into it. It reads as decisive. It fails because the hire has to be sourced, vetted, trained to your standard and proven under pressure, and the lease clock does not wait for any of that. The opening arrives on the landlord’s schedule. The operator arrives on their own.

The fix that works is slower and duller. Build the second operator before the site requires them, promote them into a store that already runs, and let the A site be the reward for having done it rather than the reason to start.

What to ask before the letter of intent

Three questions, in this order, before the LOI goes out. They take an afternoon and they are all answerable from what you already know.

  • Name the operator. Not a role, a person on today’s payroll who could open this specific site and run it unsupervised. If the answer is a name, ask what happens to the store they leave. If the answer is a title with nobody in it, you have found the real constraint and it is not the rent.
  • Name their replacement. Moving your best operator is only survivable if someone behind them holds the store they vacate. Say who that is and what they still need. Silence here is the finding, and it is the same silence that shows up when a promotion is already overdue.
  • Say what the first ninety days require. Write down how many days a week a senior person needs to be in that building through opening and stabilization, then look at where those days come from today. Every one of them is being spent somewhere already.

If all three answers hold, sign it. If the second or third does not, the site is not wrong. The timing is.

A B-plus site asks less of the operator running it

Treating a B-plus site as a compromise is how groups talk themselves into a lease they cannot staff. The lighter management load is the feature, and in a group without bench depth it is often the correct trade rather than the lesser one.

The two sites differ on more than rent, and the dimensions that decide the outcome are mostly not financial.

Rent
A site: Premium, known at signing
B-plus site: Lower, known at signing
Volume in the opening months
A site: Higher and faster
B-plus site: Lower, more gradual
Operator required
A site: Your strongest, present
B-plus site: A solid one, supportable
Tolerance for a weak opening
A site: Low, the market sees it
B-plus site: Higher, room to correct
If it underperforms
A site: Pulls management off other stores
B-plus site: Absorbed with less damage
Best case
A site: Compounds, becomes the flagship
B-plus site: Steady contributor, low drama

A group with three operators ready can take the A site and should. A group with one is buying a second job for the person who is already the constraint.

Count the operators, not the rent

The rent is the visible cost of a location and it is the one everybody argues about, because it is on paper and it can be negotiated. The management draw is invisible, is not negotiable, and comes out of a supply you cannot expand on the lease timeline.

Before the next letter of intent, count the operators who could run the site without you in the building. Not who is promising. Who is ready. That number, not the rent, is what your growth runs on, and it is the one number a broker will never bring you.

Written by Jon Peck, founder of RANGE: two decades inside multi-unit restaurant operations, P&L responsibility through Chief Operating Officer.